This video is intended to help the average golf fan understand the trade-off between distance and accuracy at the highest level of golf. Is it better to be longer or straighter? Every Shot Counts:
I compare Cameron Champ, Keegan Bradley and Chez Reavie in this video. My goal is to understand which player you would rather have drive the ball for you given that your approach game is that of an average PGA Tour player.
To do this, we need to understand the probability that players hit the ball into areas other than the fairway and the expected strokes from each distance and location.
I compare the expected score per hole for each of these players for the average par 4 on the PGA tour (~430 yards). I also compare the scoring for varying hole lengths.
I found that Cameron Champ holds the advantage in all hole lengths, but his advantage grows as the holes get longer.
In most circumstances, you would want the longer driver; however, there are a few cases where this isn't so. (1) When an individual player is better from a longer range than a shorter range (2) when the golf course is particularly penal to misses in the rough or has a high instance of out of play or penalty shots off the tee.
The strokes gained baselines that are used are from the every shot counts book (2014) so they may not be representative of players on the current PGA Tour.
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